No single project yet. Watch for the first one.
It reads as a regulatory update to a 30-year-old procedural rule, which it technically is. It stops being ignorable when the first major timber sale or dam project moves to approval under the new rules and opponents have no procedural hook to grab.
Watch the district courts.
Earthjustice, having already filed formal public comments flagging the elimination of draft EIS public notice requirements as inadequately noticed, is the likely next actor. A district court challenge on APA procedural grounds could arrive within 12 months, targeting the same structural vulnerability that sank the 2020 APHIS reforms.
The catch
USDA has the most to gain from this rule never mattering, and its mechanism is familiar: the 2020 APHIS NEPA reforms moved fast, survived four years, and were then invalidated by a federal district court, which forced the agency back to legacy rules just before the 2025 rewrite, suggesting the department has already run this play once and knows how it ends.