Why this hasn't landed yet
It reads as a technical reclassification inside a regulatory subcategory most people have never heard of — product codes NCD and OJN do not make headlines. The downstream effect on diagnostic access is real but diffuse and slow, which makes it invisible to any news cycle shorter than a decade.
What happens next
Manufacturers who parked TB diagnostic development because the full premarket approval cost made the market math not work can now revisit those decisions. Expect development programs to restart and new 510(k) submissions to follow, probably within two to three years of finalization.
The catch
Reclassification to Class II with special controls only helps if the special controls are workable — and FDA has not yet published what those controls will require. The 2011 panel stalled partly because members could not agree on what adequate controls looked like. If the new special controls are drafted too broadly, the practical burden may not shrink as much as the category change implies.